Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Developing Day Trading Strategy for Stocks

TRADING STRATEGY is the foundation of our stock trading success. This post is largely a practical application of the expert advise given in PART 2 of the international bestselling book The Complete Guide to Day Trading: A Practical Manual From a Professional Day Trading Coach.

Markus Heitkoetter, author of the book outlined the process of how to develop our own trading strategy in "seven simple, but very important, steps:"
  • Step 1: Selecting a Market
  • Step 2: Selecting a Timeframe
  • Step 3: Selecting a Trading Style
  • Step 4: Defining Entry Points
  • Step 5: Defining Exit Points
  • Step 6: Evaluating Your Trading Strategy
  • Step 7: Improving Your Trading Strategy

StepAction
Implementation
1
Selecting a MarketMarginal Stock Trader selected the stock market for his market of interest.

2
Selecting a TimeframeFor our stock trading activities, we selected the 10-day timeframe because of the limitations discussed in our previous post Day Trading Stocks at the Philippine Stock Exchange.

3
Selecting a Trading StyleThe concepts we need to be familiar with before selecting a trading style were as follows:
  • Fundamental Analysis
  • Technical Analysis
  • Day Trading Charts
    • Bar Charts
    • Candlestick Charts
    • Line Charts
  • Technical Indicators
    • Trends
    • Uptrend
    • Downtrend
    • Trading Range
    • Support and Resistance
    • Trendlines and Trend Channels
  • Technical Indicators

  • Technical analysis
    "The main question is whether you’ll use fundamental or technical analysis to decide which instrument to trade and when to enter and exit." says Markus Heitkoetter. Marginal Stock Trader shall use technical analysis.

    Trading strategies

    Following the suggestions from the book, we selected a primary trading strategy for trending markets, and a secondary trading strategy for sideways-moving markets.

    Primary trading strategy
    Our primary trading strategy
    is for trend-following – when prices are moving up, we buy, and when prices are going down, we sell.

    Marginal Stock Trader preferred the Simple Moving Averages for his primary trading approach because it works very well in trending markets.

    Other popular trend-following trading approaches were as follows:
    • Crossover of Moving Averages
    • Turtle Trading
    • Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
    Secondary trading strategy
    Our secondary trading strategy is trend-fading – when prices are trading at an extreme (e.g. upper band of a channel), we sell, and then we try to catch the small move while prices are shifting back into “normalcy.” The same applies for buying.

    Marginal Stock Investor chose the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for secondary trading approach because it works best in sideways-moving markets.

    Other popular trend-fading trading approaches:
    • Williams %R - works best in sideways-moving markets
    • Bollinger Bands and Channels - works best in sideways-moving markets
    Says Markus Heitkoetter:
    "Trading can be simple: you buy when the market is going up and you sell when the market is going down. That’s how money is made."

    4
    Defining Entry PointsSimple Moving Averages
    • BUY signal is generated when the closing price moves above the moving average.
    Relative Strength Index
    • BUY signal is generated when the RSI crosses the 30-line (oversold-zone) from below.

    5
    Defining Exit PointsSimple Moving Averages
    • SELL signal is generated when the closing price dips below the moving average.
    Relative Strength Index
    • SELL signal is generated when the RSI crosses the 70-line (overbought- zone) from above.
    Three exit rules
    There are three different exit rules we should apply: stop loss, profit exit and time-stop.
    1. Stop loss rules to protect our capital.
    Once we have entered a trade, we immediately define a stop. This safeguards us from losing our entire account. Our stop loss rule shall be expressed in a fixed amount of 20 pesos for every board lot of ten shares of Ayala Corporation.
    • Fixed peso amount strategy
    This is an easy, fast, and simple rule. Just specify a peso amount that we are willing to risk, subtract it from our entry price, and place a stop loss order.
    • How to use this strategy
    Simply subtract the peso amount we specified from our entry price.

    Example:
    Let’s say we are trading the 100 shares of Ayala Corporation. We entered the market at 250 pesos per share and we want to risk 20 pesos for each board lot of ten shares. Let us also say we have BPI Trade for our online broker. Hence, we place our stop loss at 251 pesos per share.

    • When to use this strategy
    This strategy is perfect for beginners like Marginal Stock Trader, since we don’t have to perform complex calculations. We simply add or subtract our stop loss to or from our entry price and that’s it. It works best if we’re trading only one stock or one market, and if the security doesn’t fluctuate too much.
    2. Profit-taking exits to realize our gains.
    Once we’re in a profitable trade, the next challenge becomes when to
    take that profit. The "key to trading success," according to the book The Complete Guide to Day Trading is: "small profits, consistently." Our profit exit strategy shall be expressed in a fixed amount of 30 pesos for every board lot of ten shares of Ayala Corporation.
    • Fixed peso amount strategy
    We mentioned in the first exit rule that this is the easiest way to exit a trade. Simply specify a peso amount that we would be happy with, add it to our entry point, and place a profit target order in the market.
    • How to use this strategy
    Simply add the peso amount we specified to our entry price.

    Example:
    Let’s say we’re trading 100 shares of Ayala Corporation and enter at 250 pesos. Our profit target is 300, so we would exit the trade as soon as prices move up 6 pesos, to 256 pesos.
    • When to use this strategy
    Again, this strategy works best if we are just trading one stock or one market, and if the security doesn’t fluctuate too much.
    3. Time-stops to get us out of a trade and free our capital if the market is not moving at all.
    A time-stop gets us out of a trade if it’s not moving in any direction. If prices do not move at all, we get out.
    • How to use this strategy
    We simply specify a “time-out,” after which we will exit the market. We exit the trade after the specified time, regardless of whether we reached our stop loss or profit target.

    Example:
    A good time-stop is three times the timeframe we’re using. Since we’re using 10-day charts, we get out of the trade if neither our profit nor our stop loss is hit after 30 days.
    • When to use this strategy
    We can dramatically reduce our risk by applying a time-stop and exiting the market if it doesn’t move. We free our capital and then take the next trading opportunity.

    6
    Evaluating Your Trading StrategyTo be completed after 40 trades or at least a year. More likely, about 40 trades is possible by December 2009.
    7
    Improving Your Trading StrategyTo be completed as the need arises. Improving our trading strategy is an important concern for Marginal Stock Trader.

    Marginal Stock Trader SMART Goals and Plan

    DAY TRADING is the way we want to earn a living and hopefully become wealthy within a definite time of our choosing.

    Beginning marginal stock trader
    For the beginning marginal stock trader, before we ever make a single trade, we need to determine what our goals are. This is the expert advise of Markus Heitkoetter, author of the international bestselling book The Complete Guide to Day Trading: A Practical Manual From a Professional Day Trading Coach.

    Goals and plan
    " What do you hope to achieve with your trading activities? Why do you want to trade?" says Heitkoetter, are the probing questions we need to ask ourselves. The author then talked about the three important steps about how to define our goals and make a plan for our day trading endeavors.

    Learning applied
    Here is how Marginal Stock Trader applied the suggestions for defining goals and making a plan for his day trading activities. This post will describe the details of the First Step:
    • Define your Specific Measurable Attractive Realistic Timeframe (SMART) goal:
    "I want to make 12,500 pesos per month with day trading."

    • Specific

    • the peso amount of 12,500 is very specific


    • Measurable

    • the balance of our trading account at the beginning of the month and at the end of the month is the easiest way to measure the achievement of our goal


    • Attractive

    • the extra income of 12,500 monthly looks attractive to me


    • Realistic

    • our trading account right now may not be big enough for us to realistically trade enough shares to achieve our long-term trading goal, but if we follow the steps outlined in the book, it’s very possible that our long-term goal, Heitkoetter assures us "WILL become realistic in the near future."


    • Timeframe

    • obviously, the timeframe is 30 days when I say we make an extra income of 12,500 pesos per month



    The application of the Second and Third Steps that will be discussed in the succeeding posts were as follows:
    • Make a Plan
    • Execute the Plan

    Tuesday, May 19, 2009

    Make a Living As a Day Trader

    MAKING A LIVING means different things to people in various circumstances. But we could make some assumptions that may be sufficient for our Marginal Stock Trader.

    Decent living
    The day trader we have in mind will be happy to make an extra 150,000 pesos in a year or 12,500 pesos monthly or 3,000 pesos per week, assuming that you trade 50 weeks per year.

    Start small
    Markus Heitkoetter, author of the international bestselling book The Complete Guide to Day Trading: A Practical Manual From a Professional Day Trading Coach offered some suggestions on how to start day trading. Here is how Marginal Stock Trader implemented the approach:


    Requirements


    Implementation

    • START small



    • our goal should be LOW, very low, even marginal so that it is easy for you to reach it


    • ONE buy and sell transaction weekly for the first 4 to 12 weeks

    • set a WEEKLY PROFIT GOAL of 30 pesos per 10 shares and a stop loss of 20 pesos per 10 shares


    • ONE board lot equal to 10 shares of Ayala Corporation (AC) stock

    • succeeding weeks profit target of 300 pesos per 100 shares and a stop loss of 200 pesos per 100 shares.


    • BUILD MINIMUM BALANCE of 25,000 pesos in your BPI Trade trading account


    If you don't have enough money yet for online stock trading read this post: How to Build Equity for Your Speculative Stock Trading.

    Become Wealthy With Day Trading

    DAY TRADING IS A WAY ONE CAN BECOME WEALTHY. In the opinion of Markus Heitkoetter, author of the international bestselling book The Complete Guide to Day Trading: A Practical Manual From a Professional Day Trading Coach day trading is the "perfect way to become wealthy." Three of the ten reasons why were as follows:

    The time required is minimal
    With day trading, you can trade either part-time or full-time. You can start trading for as little as one hour per week, or you can go for the maximum of 2 hours per day. Trading is done at the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) trading floor during weekdays from 9:30 a.m to 12:10 p.m. except during legal and special public holidays.

    Low capital requirement
    In trading, you can start with as little as 3,000 pesos. If you bought 10 shares of Ayala Corporation stock on 11 May 2009, it would have cost you a total of 2,515 pesos inclusive of fees and taxes, with BPI Trade for your online broker.

    Low transaction cost
    For stock transactions, BPITrade charges a commission of 0.25% on the gross value of each trade, or a minimum commission of 20 pesos. A Value-Added Tax (VAT) of 12% is levied on the commission charge.
    • For both buy and sell transactions, a PSE Fee of 0.00012 peso for every 1.00 peso gross value traded, and a SCCP (Securities Clearing Corp. of the Philippines) Fee of 0.00011 peso for every 1.00 peso gross value traded is charged.

    • For sell transactions, a Sales Tax of 0.5% of the gross value traded is charged.

    • For buy transactions, a Documentary Stamp Tax will be charged beginning March 20, 2009 computed as follows: [(No. of Shares * Par Value)/200 pesos]*0.75.

    • All fees and charges are for your account.
    This website shall be updated with information about our progress in terms of learning and implementing the key concepts relevant to day trading .

    Monday, May 18, 2009

    Day Trading Stocks at the Philippine Stock Exchange

    DAY TRADING STOCKS is at once an exciting game and a profitable way to make a living as well.

    Online stock broker
    BPI Trade, however, presents a limitation being our online broker because of its provision that cash proceeds from the sale of stocks will be credited to your BPITrade Bank Account (your settlement account) only on settlement date, which is T+3 (three business days after the transaction date) and thus, will not be immediately available for reinvestment.

    Settlement date
    Indeed, BPI Trade may have used for basis the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) rule on equities trading. That equity trades are settled on the third day after trade date, i.e., T+3 through Delivery-versus-Payment (DVP) Settlement System.

    As such, cash and/or securities obligations must be paid and/or delivered to the settlement banks (either Equitable PCI Bank, Inc. or Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation) and the Philippine Central Depository not later than 12:00 noon of the settlement date.

    Weekly Trader
    Like what we said in a previous post, our Marginal Stock Trader is at best, a weekly stock trader. Nevertheless, for as long as practicable, we are going to apply the strategies and techniques allowed for day trading.

    For this enterprise, we shall refer largely to the book The Complete Guide to Day Trading: A Practical Manual From a Professional Day Trading Coach by Markus Heitkoetter. This book offers a lot of sense to the beginning day trader. I found the book while searching the Internet for articles about day trading. Get your free PDF version today or buy your own hard copy at Amazon.com.

    Trading Journal
    After reading the book, I decided to act on what I learned. Consequently, this website Marginal Stock Trader shall keep track of my progress being an online stock trader. "Start a trading journal," the book says. "Most successful traders have one."

    Saturday, May 16, 2009

    From Novice to Expert: Marginal Stock Trader's Journey to Mastery and Financial Success

    About Marginal Stock Trader

    Updated April 9, 2023


    MARGINAL means "close to the lower limit of qualification, acceptability, or function" according to one of the definitions given by the Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary. Being marginal is "barely exceeding the minimum requirements."

    For purposes of this website, we may describe the marginal stock trader as one who is close to the lower limit of qualification or barely exceeding the minimum requirements for online stock trading. Let us also say this online stock trader has decided to use the services of BPI Trade for online broker in trading shares of stocks listed in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).


    Day Trading

    Marginal Stock Trading is more about the application of the techniques and strategies for day trading. Day trading involves buying and selling securities within the same day.


    BPI Trade FAQs

    BPI Trade FAQs provides the following and we are quoting verbatim (italics and underscoring supplied):


    Can I sell my investments on the same day that I bought them? 

    Yes. Your matched/filled buy orders are immediately reflected in your online stock position and are available for sale. Your current stock position can be found in the HOMEPAGE under MAIN menu.


    If I sell today, can I already use the proceeds of the sale to buy other stocks? 

    Proceeds of your selling transaction will only be credited on the third trading day after the transaction date (T+3). However, if your sell transaction is matched/filled, sell proceeds will immediately be credited to your buying power which you may use to buy shares.


    Mastering the Art of Day Trading: Building Expertise and Experience

    It is a good thing that day trading is possible with our online stockbroker, so we can gain experience being a Marginal Stock Trader. 

    Day trading can be a highly rewarding but challenging endeavor. To succeed as a day trader, one needs to develop expertise and experience. This requires a combination of knowledge, skills, discipline, and patience. Precisely, these are the main reasons why we created this blog. We could even consider this our mission statement. Moreover, it is also one of our goals to can help promote and make the financial markets inclusive through this blog.


    Build expertise with education and training

    To build expertise, aspiring day traders should start with a solid foundation of education and training. This can include learning the basics of trading, such as technical analysis, chart patterns, and risk management. It's also important to stay up-to-date on market news, trends, and events that may impact trading strategies. There are countless YouTube tutorials, websites, and blogs dealing with the topic of day trading. Any one or more of these sources of information could be providing the perfect match for you. But in our case, we have chosen Oliver Velez to be our main guide.

    Oliver Velez is a renowned trader, entrepreneur, and author who has made a significant impact on the world of finance. With over three decades of experience in the industry, he has become one of the most sought-after educators and speakers on the subject of trading. Velez is the best-selling author of 5 trading books and has trained thousands of traders worldwide through his various educational programs.

    Tips for Online Traders

    For starters, let us share with you some tips lifter from Velez's YouTube presentation titled 5 Tips That You Should Not Forget While Trading. Here is a list of the 3 biggest things that contribute to a trader's failure:

    • Tip #1 Not limiting your loss to 1 bar
    • Tip #2 Not trading in the direction of the 20 MA
    • Tip #3 Not making your entries near or at the 20 MA


    Gain confidence through experience

    Experience comes with practice, and new traders should start small and gradually increase their trading activity as they gain confidence and skill. It's important to keep a trading journal to track progress, identify strengths and weaknesses, and learn from mistakes. We shall have this trading journal available as part of our regular updates.


    Essential qualities

    Discipline and patience are also essential qualities for successful day traders. It's important to have a well-defined trading plan and stick to it, even in the face of volatile markets or unexpected events. Emotions such as fear, greed, and impatience can lead to costly mistakes, so it's crucial to stay focused and disciplined.


    Journey to Mastery: Exploring the Path to Expertise

    In conclusion, mastering the art of day trading takes time, effort, and dedication. By building expertise and experience, we can increase our chances of success and achieve our financial goals.

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