Markus Heitkoetter, author of the book outlined the process of how to develop our own trading strategy in "seven simple, but very important, steps:"
- Step 1: Selecting a Market
- Step 2: Selecting a Timeframe
- Step 3: Selecting a Trading Style
- Step 4: Defining Entry Points
- Step 5: Defining Exit Points
- Step 6: Evaluating Your Trading Strategy
- Step 7: Improving Your Trading Strategy
Step | Action | Implementation |
1 | Selecting a Market | Marginal Stock Trader selected the stock market for his market of interest. |
2 | Selecting a Timeframe | For our stock trading activities, we selected the 10-day timeframe because of the limitations discussed in our previous post Day Trading Stocks at the Philippine Stock Exchange. |
3 | Selecting a Trading Style | The concepts we need to be familiar with before selecting a trading style were as follows:
Technical analysis "The main question is whether you’ll use fundamental or technical analysis to decide which instrument to trade and when to enter and exit." says Markus Heitkoetter. Marginal Stock Trader shall use technical analysis. Trading strategies Following the suggestions from the book, we selected a primary trading strategy for trending markets, and a secondary trading strategy for sideways-moving markets. Primary trading strategy Our primary trading strategy is for trend-following – when prices are moving up, we buy, and when prices are going down, we sell. Marginal Stock Trader preferred the Simple Moving Averages for his primary trading approach because it works very well in trending markets. Other popular trend-following trading approaches were as follows:
Our secondary trading strategy is trend-fading – when prices are trading at an extreme (e.g. upper band of a channel), we sell, and then we try to catch the small move while prices are shifting back into “normalcy.” The same applies for buying. Marginal Stock Investor chose the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for secondary trading approach because it works best in sideways-moving markets. Other popular trend-fading trading approaches:
"Trading can be simple: you buy when the market is going up and you sell when the market is going down. That’s how money is made." |
4 | Defining Entry Points | Simple Moving Averages
|
5 | Defining Exit Points | Simple Moving Averages
There are three different exit rules we should apply: stop loss, profit exit and time-stop. 1. Stop loss rules to protect our capital.Once we have entered a trade, we immediately define a stop. This safeguards us from losing our entire account. Our stop loss rule shall be expressed in a fixed amount of 20 pesos for every board lot of ten shares of Ayala Corporation.
Example: Let’s say we are trading the 100 shares of Ayala Corporation. We entered the market at 250 pesos per share and we want to risk 20 pesos for each board lot of ten shares. Let us also say we have BPI Trade for our online broker. Hence, we place our stop loss at 251 pesos per share.
2. Profit-taking exits to realize our gains.Once we’re in a profitable trade, the next challenge becomes when to take that profit. The "key to trading success," according to the book The Complete Guide to Day Trading is: "small profits, consistently." Our profit exit strategy shall be expressed in a fixed amount of 30 pesos for every board lot of ten shares of Ayala Corporation.
Example: Let’s say we’re trading 100 shares of Ayala Corporation and enter at 250 pesos. Our profit target is 300, so we would exit the trade as soon as prices move up 6 pesos, to 256 pesos.
3. Time-stops to get us out of a trade and free our capital if the market is not moving at all.A time-stop gets us out of a trade if it’s not moving in any direction. If prices do not move at all, we get out.
Example: A good time-stop is three times the timeframe we’re using. Since we’re using 10-day charts, we get out of the trade if neither our profit nor our stop loss is hit after 30 days.
|
6 | Evaluating Your Trading Strategy | To be completed after 40 trades or at least a year. More likely, about 40 trades is possible by December 2009. |
7 | Improving Your Trading Strategy | To be completed as the need arises. Improving our trading strategy is an important concern for Marginal Stock Trader. |